| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.3% | 63% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.0% | 88% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 73.6% | 83% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 61% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.0% | 32.5% | 20.5% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 25.9% | 19.0% |
| logistic | 56.4% | 26.7% | 17.0% |
| Athletic Club | Getafe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1598 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1598 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 6 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Unionistas de Salamanca CF | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Levante | 1 - 3 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Levante | 1 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | CD Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Valencia | 0 - 0 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Calvo Sotelo Puertollano | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Oct | H | Lugano | 2 - 5 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Vallecano | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Albacete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Oct | A | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 2 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | Getafe |
| 15 May 2025 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 15 Aug 2024 | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 03 May 2024 | Getafe | 0 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Athletic Club | 2 - 2 | Getafe |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Athletic Club | 0 - 0 | Getafe |
| 18 Oct 2022 | Getafe | 2 - 2 | Athletic Club |
| 18 Mar 2022 | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Getafe |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Getafe | 0 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 25 Oct 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.64 | 15.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.07 | 24.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 25 Oct 06:15 |