| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.4% | 38% | +13.9% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 77.8% | 78% | +0.0% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.4% | 50% | +15.9% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 64% | -6.2% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 25.8% | 22.0% | 52.2% |
| xgboost | 29.9% | 23.3% | 46.9% |
| logistic | 24.5% | 26.1% | 49.4% |
| Wealdstone | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1362 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1362 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Forest Green | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | H | Ipswich Town U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Solihull | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Solihull | 5 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Worthing | 1 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |