| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.6% | 30.4% |
| xgboost | 77.7% | 21.3% |
| logistic | 70.9% | 29.1% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1384 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1384 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.25 | 2.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 6 - 2 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 4 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 15 Jun | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 0 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 5 - 4 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 6 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 6 - 5 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 06 Mar 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 5 - 2 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 0 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||