| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.1% | 64% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Calvin Hemery | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1630 | 1616 |
| Surface Elo | 1630 | 1616 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Marlon Vankan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Benjamin Lock | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |