| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.1% | 95% | -15.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 80.4% | 19.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| logistic | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Lilli Tagger | Venus Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1596 | 1306 |
| Surface Elo | 1596 | 1306 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 58 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Ann Li | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tereza Valentova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Sofia Kenin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Emiliana Arango | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Kamilla Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | A | Anastasia Potapova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Jun | A | Irina Camelia Begu | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.00 | 9.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.05 | 95.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |