| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.1% | 43% | +17.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.5% | 77% | +7.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 74.5% | 63% | +11.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.3% | 70% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 57.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.5% | 35.4% | 31.1% |
| xgboost | 49.3% | 28.0% | 22.7% |
| logistic | 43.2% | 29.2% | 27.6% |
| Sabadell | Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1493 | 1514 |
| Surface Elo | 1493 | 1514 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Mallorca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Cordoba | 3 - 2 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Almeria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Castellon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | Sp Gijon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Valladolid | 3 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Burgos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Albacete | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Leganes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Granada | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 May 2021 | Oviedo | 2 - 1 | Sabadell |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Sabadell | 0 - 1 | Oviedo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.70 | 37.0% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.44 | 69.4% | 20 Sep 13:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 2.95 | 33.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.75 | 36.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.43 | 69.9% | 20 Sep 06:15 |