OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-30
🎾 ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles · Wednesday 30 September 2026, 14:10 UTC · finished
Moez Echargui 1.20 2 - 0 0.60 Damir Dzumhur
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.1%64%-7.6%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov43.5%56.5%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost48.9%51.1%
logistic43.2%56.8%
Inputs the models saw
Moez EcharguiDamir Dzumhur
Elo (pre-match)15561656
Surface Elo15561656
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game1.671.50
Season goals against / game1.001.50
Rest days830
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Moez Echargui: last 5
28 SepAEdas Butvilas0 - 2L
28 SepADamir Dzumhur2 - 0W
22 SepHDaniel Masur1 - 2L
21 SepHKarl Poling2 - 0W
21 SepADaniel Masur1 - 2L
Damir Dzumhur: last 5
28 SepHMoez Echargui0 - 2L
31 AugHHubert Hurkacz1 - 3L
03 AugHMathys Erhard0 - 2L
03 AugHGeoffrey Blancaneaux2 - 0W
21 JulHHugo Gaston0 - 1L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Damir Dzumhur0 - 2Moez Echargui
18 Sep 2023Damir Dzumhur2 - 0Moez Echargui
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6361.4%30 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%30 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC