| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.1% | 87% | -19.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.7% | 18.3% |
| logistic | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Lucio Ratti | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1342 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1342 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Federico Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Coria | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Ognjen Milic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Khumoyun Sultanov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Mateus Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Marcelo Zormann Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jul | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.95 | 20.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |