| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.3% | 81% | -17.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.5% | 97% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.5% | 95% | -11.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 70% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 78.7% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| xgboost | 69.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% |
| logistic | 66.0% | 22.0% | 12.0% |
| Stockport | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1566 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1566 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.78 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.22 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.22 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Barnsley | 3 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Leeds | 1 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Shrewsbury | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Peterborough United | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Mansfield | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 0 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Brentford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Huddersfield | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Bromley | 1 - 3 | Stockport |
| 13 Nov 2021 | Stockport | 1 - 1 | Bromley |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Stockport | 0 - 0 | Bromley |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Bromley | 0 - 2 | Stockport |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Stockport | 1 - 0 | Bromley |
| 29 Oct 2019 | Bromley | 2 - 2 | Stockport |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 9.50 | 10.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.75 | 17.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.88 | 34.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.80 | 10.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.40 | 15.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.42 | 70.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |