| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.0% | 64% | -2.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.2% | 36.7% |
| logistic | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Matteo Berrettini | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1830 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1830 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Brandon Nakashima | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.56 | 64.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.55 | 39.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.61 | 62.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Matteo Berrettini | 1.63 | 61.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.62 | 38.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.59 | 62.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.47 | 40.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.55 | 64.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.43 | 41.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.60 | 62.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Matteo Berrettini | 1.67 | 59.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.66 | 37.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.58 | 63.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.52 | 39.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.49 | 67.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.33 | 42.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.30 | 43.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.55 | 64.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.43 | 41.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.55 | 64.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.43 | 41.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.56 | 64.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Matteo Berrettini | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |