OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
🇮🇹 Serie A · Sunday 08 November 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Napoli 1.40 1 - 1 3.00 Lazio
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.2%43%+1.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.2%76%-2.2%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 58.8%59%+0.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.0%59%-4.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.4%27.1%28.5%
xgboost41.6%26.8%31.6%
logistic41.8%26.0%32.2%
Inputs the models saw
NapoliLazio
Elo (pre-match)17671802
Surface Elo17671802
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.403.00
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game1.402.80
Season goals for / game1.702.40
Season goals against / game1.300.80
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Napoli: last 5
04 NovAPorto1 - 4L
01 NovAJuventus0 - 2L
01 NovAJuventus0 - 2L
28 OctAMonza4 - 1W
28 OctAMonza4 - 1W
Lazio: last 5
01 NovHCagliari2 - 1W
01 NovHCagliari2 - 1W
27 OctASassuolo6 - 2W
27 OctASassuolo6 - 2W
27 OctHSudtirol2 - 0W
Head to head
18 Apr 2026Napoli0 - 2Lazio
04 Jan 2026Lazio0 - 2Napoli
15 Feb 2025Lazio2 - 2Napoli
08 Dec 2024Napoli0 - 1Lazio
28 Jan 2024Lazio0 - 0Napoli
02 Sep 2023Napoli1 - 2Lazio
03 Mar 2023Napoli0 - 1Lazio
03 Sep 2022Lazio1 - 2Napoli
27 Feb 2022Lazio1 - 2Napoli
28 Nov 2021Napoli4 - 0Lazio
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.2530.8%08 Nov 11:30
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%08 Nov 11:30
Bet3651X2home2.0548.8%08 Nov 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%08 Nov 11:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3043.5%08 Nov 11:30
SportyBet1X2away3.0033.3%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7226.9%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3941.8%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC