| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.8% | 45% | +5.9% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.5% | 79% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.8% | 62% | +2.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 52% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.5% | 26.1% | 26.4% |
| xgboost | 23.9% | 26.0% | 50.1% |
| logistic | 19.5% | 23.3% | 57.2% |
| Crotone | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1329 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1329 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1603 | 500 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 20 Sep | A | SS Monopoli | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 May | H | Parma | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Apr | A | Pordenone | 3 - 3 | D |
| 25 Apr | H | Cremonese | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | Spal | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | FC Giugliano 1928 | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Perugia | 0 - 6 | L |
| 13 May | A | Cittadella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 May | A | Sampdoria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 May | H | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jul 2020 | Crotone | 1 - 1 | Salernitana |
| 15 Dec 2019 | Salernitana | 3 - 2 | Crotone |
| 10 Mar 2019 | Salernitana | 0 - 2 | Crotone |
| 28 Oct 2018 | Crotone | 1 - 1 | Salernitana |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.86 | 53.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |