| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.4% | 60% | -7.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 49.1% |
| logistic | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Fabrizio Andaloro | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Filippo Moroni | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Colasanto, Francesco Giuseppe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Emile Hudd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Stepan Baum | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Petrofsky, David | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Norbert Gombos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Franco Ribero | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 May | A | Bor Artnak | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |