| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 61% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 84% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.8% | 78% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 44% | +7.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.5% | 25.4% | 27.1% |
| xgboost | 49.4% | 29.3% | 21.2% |
| logistic | 55.7% | 26.2% | 18.1% |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1522 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1522 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Watford | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Blackpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Blackpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterboro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Peterborough United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Leicester | 0 - 4 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Leicester | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Stockport | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 - 1 | Bromley |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Bromley | 2 - 1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 - 1 | Bromley |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Bromley | 1 - 1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.90 | 20.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |