| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 50% | +6.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 66.4% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Samuel Heredia | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1467 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1467 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Leonardo Storck Franca | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Lorenzo Claverie | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Jefferson Wendler Filho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Zanellato, N | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Sakamoto, P | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep 2024 | Juan Sebastian Osorio | 1 - 2 | Samuel Heredia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |