| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.4% | 50% | +12.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.0% | 35.9% |
| logistic | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Arthur Weber | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1620 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1620 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Ilia Simakin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Philip Sekulic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Arthur Weber | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Sergio Callejon Hernando | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Koki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Filip Peliwo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Arthur Weber | 0 - 2 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||