| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.4% | 49% | +5.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 50.7% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Aleksandr Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1817 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 1817 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Jaume Munar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Jaume Munar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Casper Ruud | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.82 | 54.9% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |