| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.6% | 87% | -9.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 71.6% | 28.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 77.8% | 22.2% |
| logistic | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1317 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1317 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Laurent Lokoli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Lui Maxted | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Michael Agwi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francisco Rocha | 0 - 2 | Pol Martin Tiffon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 12 Oct 06:15 |