| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.7% | 68% | -10.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| logistic | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Rio Noguchi | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1684 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1684 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 12 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Colin Sinclair | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 05 Oct 06:15 |