| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 57% | +8.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.0% | 81% | +4.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 81.4% | 73% | +8.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 66% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.1% | 24.7% | 21.2% |
| xgboost | 72.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| logistic | 71.2% | 19.6% | 9.1% |
| Boreham Wood | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1676 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1676 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 4 - 3 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 4 - 3 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Woking | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Woking | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Fylde | 4 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Mansfield | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Nov | H | Mansfield | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Bromley | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bromley | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Leicester | 0 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.51 | 66.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |