| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 48% | +4.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Arcangioli, M | Gimbrere, J | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1500 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1500 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| No results yet. |
| No results yet. |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 16 Sep 06:15 |