| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.3% | 45% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 79% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.7% | 60% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 64% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.1% | 24.9% | 34.0% |
| xgboost | 28.1% | 26.5% | 45.3% |
| logistic | 29.1% | 25.6% | 45.2% |
| Westerlo | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1556 | 1623 |
| Surface Elo | 1556 | 1623 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 2.10 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Anderlecht | 1 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | RSC Anderlecht | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Beveren | 4 - 4 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Waasland-Beveren | 4 - 4 | D |
| 16 Oct | H | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | RAAL La Louviere | 5 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | RAAL La Louviere | 5 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | RSC Habay | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Sl16 Football Campus | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Antwerp | 0 - 3 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Charleroi | 0 - 1 | Westerlo |
| 05 Apr 2026 | Westerlo | 2 - 0 | Charleroi |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Westerlo | 2 - 1 | Charleroi |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Charleroi | 2 - 0 | Westerlo |
| 09 May 2025 | Charleroi | 4 - 3 | Westerlo |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Westerlo | 2 - 2 | Charleroi |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Westerlo | 1 - 3 | Charleroi |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Charleroi | 1 - 0 | Westerlo |
| 01 Mar 2024 | Westerlo | 0 - 1 | Charleroi |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Charleroi | 3 - 2 | Westerlo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 07 Nov 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.28 | 43.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.81 | 26.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |