OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League · Saturday 07 November 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Leeds 0.60 1 - 0 2.00 Tottenham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 40.3%36%+4.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 72.3%74%-1.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 54.9%51%+4.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.8%53%+1.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.0%27.4%31.6%
xgboost37.4%33.0%29.6%
logistic35.8%27.7%36.5%
Inputs the models saw
LeedsTottenham
Elo (pre-match)17331659
Surface Elo17331659
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.602.00
Form trend0.10-0.80
Season points per game1.221.33
Season goals for / game1.001.11
Season goals against / game0.891.11
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W6 W · 1 D
Leeds: last 5
03 NovAHartlepool1 - 3L
31 OctABournemouth0 - 2L
31 OctABournemouth0 - 2L
31 OctHStoke2 - 2D
25 OctASunderland0 - 0D
Tottenham: last 5
31 OctHCrystal Palace2 - 0W
31 OctHCrystal Palace2 - 0W
24 OctAChelsea2 - 0W
24 OctAChelsea2 - 0W
19 OctHCoventry3 - 1W
Head to head
11 May 2026Tottenham1 - 1Leeds
04 Oct 2025Leeds1 - 2Tottenham
28 May 2023Leeds1 - 4Tottenham
12 Nov 2022Tottenham4 - 3Leeds
26 Feb 2022Leeds0 - 4Tottenham
21 Nov 2021Tottenham2 - 1Leeds
08 May 2021Leeds3 - 1Tottenham
02 Jan 2021Tottenham3 - 0Leeds
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.5539.2%07 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%07 Nov 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.8035.7%07 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%07 Nov 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%07 Nov 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.6837.3%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4229.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8335.3%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9750.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC