OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ England Premier League · Sunday 08 November 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Brighton 2.40 2 - 0 1.60 Brentford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.6%51%+6.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.0%76%+3.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 73.5%67%+6.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.3%42%+8.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.6%24.2%26.2%
xgboost61.8%21.9%16.3%
logistic60.2%23.6%16.2%
Inputs the models saw
BrightonBrentford
Elo (pre-match)17991744
Surface Elo17991744
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.60
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game2.251.25
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game0.501.25
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 3 D
Brighton: last 5
05 NovAGetafe1 - 0W
31 OctAManchester City1 - 0W
31 OctAManchester City1 - 0W
28 OctAManchester City2 - 2D
25 OctALiverpool0 - 2L
Brentford: last 5
02 NovAWycombe Wanderers Development Team2 - 1W
31 OctHNottingham Forest2 - 0W
31 OctHNottingham Forest2 - 0W
28 OctASunderland2 - 3L
25 OctAHull1 - 1D
Head to head
21 Feb 2026Brentford0 - 2Brighton
22 Nov 2025Brighton2 - 1Brentford
19 Apr 2025Brentford4 - 2Brighton
27 Dec 2024Brighton0 - 0Brentford
03 Apr 2024Brentford0 - 0Brighton
06 Dec 2023Brighton2 - 1Brentford
01 Apr 2023Brighton3 - 3Brentford
14 Oct 2022Brentford2 - 0Brighton
26 Dec 2021Brighton2 - 0Brentford
11 Sep 2021Brentford0 - 1Brighton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.7226.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9325.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9750.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC