| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.9% | 83% | -21.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1440 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1440 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 99 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | H | Juan Sebastian Gomez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jun | H | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Jun | A | Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Jun | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mateo Del Pino | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 2 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 22 Sep 06:15 |