OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Championship · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Charlton 0.20 2 - 1 2.60 Sheffield Utd
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.4%49%-0.1%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 75.0%78%-2.5%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 64.8%67%-2.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 51.4%52%-0.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson27.8%28.8%43.3%
xgboost24.4%21.6%53.9%
logistic26.1%29.1%44.8%
Inputs the models saw
CharltonSheffield Utd
Elo (pre-match)14481576
Surface Elo14481576
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.202.60
Form trend0.20-0.20
Season points per game1.001.67
Season goals for / game0.791.53
Season goals against / game1.571.27
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W0 W · 0 D
Charlton: last 5
03 NovHBolton0 - 1L
03 NovHBolton0 - 1L
03 NovHStockport6 - 2W
31 OctAMiddlesbrough0 - 3L
31 OctAMiddlesbrough0 - 3L
Sheffield Utd: last 5
03 NovAPreston3 - 2W
03 NovAPreston North End3 - 2W
03 NovAPreston3 - 2W
30 OctHWrexham1 - 0W
30 OctHWrexham1 - 0W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Charlton1 - 0Sheffield Utd
20 Sep 2025Sheffield Utd0 - 1Charlton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.7656.8%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home4.3323.1%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8853.2%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9850.5%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.1746.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5128.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5128.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9252.1%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9351.8%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC