| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.4% | 46% | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 77% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.4% | 63% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 65% | -9.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.7% | 24.4% | 27.9% |
| xgboost | 40.0% | 25.5% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 27.1% | 30.9% |
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1793 | 1787 |
| Surface Elo | 1793 | 1787 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 3.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Villarreal | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Brentford | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Brentford | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | LASK Linz | 6 - 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | FK Jablonec | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Crystal Palace | 5 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Crystal Palace | 5 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Sunderland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Brighton | 2 - 1 | Liverpool |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2 - 0 | Brighton |
| 19 May 2025 | Brighton | 3 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Liverpool | 2 - 1 | Brighton |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Liverpool | 2 - 1 | Brighton |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Brighton | 2 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Brighton | 3 - 0 | Liverpool |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | Brighton |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Brighton | 0 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Brighton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 25 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.95 | 51.3% | 25 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Oct 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 25 Oct 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.87 | 25.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.23 | 44.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |