| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 64.8% | 58% | +7.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| logistic | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| Talia Gibson | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 120 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Viktoria Morvayova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Fiona Ferro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Donna Vekic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Danka Kovinic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Apr | H | Sorana Cirstea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Fiona Ferro | 0 - 2 | Talia Gibson |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 20 Sep 06:16 |