| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.8% | 64% | -2.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Atlanta Falcons | Kansas City Chiefs | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | -0.22 | |
| form diff | -0.38 | |
| rest diff | 0.02 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | -0.78 | |
| opponent strength diff | 0.02 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-11-12T21:22:01.834890+00:00 | |
| 08 Nov | H | Cincinnati Bengals | 17 - 34 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 - 16 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | San Francisco 49ers | 29 - 20 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Chicago Bears | 23 - 31 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Baltimore Ravens | 23 - 30 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | New York Jets | 35 - 12 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Denver Broncos | 24 - 28 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Seattle Seahawks | 3 - 20 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Los Angeles Chargers | 22 - 6 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Las Vegas Raiders | 30 - 27 | W |
| 23 Sep 2024 | Atlanta Falcons | 17 - 22 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 27 Dec 2020 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 - 14 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 04 Dec 2016 | Atlanta Falcons | 28 - 29 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 09 Sep 2012 | Kansas City Chiefs | 24 - 40 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 21 Sep 2008 | Atlanta Falcons | 38 - 14 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 24 Oct 2004 | Kansas City Chiefs | 56 - 10 | Atlanta Falcons |
| 24 Dec 2000 | Atlanta Falcons | 29 - 13 | Kansas City Chiefs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.54 | 39.4% | 12 Nov 17:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 12 Nov 17:20 |