| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.5% | 51% | +0.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1606 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1606 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |