| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.7% | 83% | -12.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.5% | 68.5% |
| logistic | 19.0% | 81.0% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Yi Zhou | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1962 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1962 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Dillon Beckles | 3 - 0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Aug | A | Jaime Faria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct 2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | Yi Zhou |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.62 | 21.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.50 | 22.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Yi Zhou | 5.50 | 18.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.22 | 82.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Yi Zhou | 5.60 | 17.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.51 | 22.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.18 | 84.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| GTbets | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.61 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.18 | 84.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.90 | 20.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Yi Zhou | 5.50 | 18.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.22 | 82.0% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Yi Zhou | 5.60 | 17.9% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.93 | 20.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.13 | 88.5% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.60 | 21.7% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.70 | 21.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.18 | 84.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.15 | 24.1% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.18 | 84.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.90 | 20.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.18 | 84.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.90 | 20.4% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.50 | 22.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.21 | 82.6% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.80 | 20.8% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Lorenzo Musetti | 1.20 | 83.3% | 09 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Yi Zhou | 4.50 | 22.2% | 09 Oct 06:01 |