OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-08

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Thursday 08 October 2026, 11:10 UTC · scheduled

Cameron Norrie 1.20 11:10 1.20 Dalibor Svrcina

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.7%	65%	-9.3%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	43.2%	56.7%
logistic	67.0%	33.0%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Cameron Norrie	Dalibor Svrcina
Elo (pre-match)	1879	1701
Surface Elo	1879	1701
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.20
Form trend	0.60	-0.90
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	7	2
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Cameron Norrie: last 5

01 Oct	A	Alexander Zverev	0 - 2	L
16 Aug	A	Alexander Zverev	1 - 2	L
14 Aug	H	Dino Prizmic	2 - 1	W
09 Aug	A	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	L
07 Aug	A	Alex De Minaur	2 - 1	W

Dalibor Svrcina: last 5

08 Oct	A	Rohan Murali	2 - 1	W
06 Oct	A	Yoshihito Nishioka	1 - 0	W
05 Oct	A	Billy Harris	2 - 1	W
29 Sep	H	Marat Sharipov	1 - 2	L
24 Sep	A	Rinky Hijikata	0 - 2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.53	65.4%	08 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.58	38.8%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.50	66.7%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.60	38.5%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.54	64.9%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.55	39.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.56	64.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.76	36.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Cameron Norrie	1.57	63.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Dalibor Svrcina	2.80	35.7%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.53	65.4%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.62	38.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.52	65.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.55	39.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.50	66.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.60	38.5%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.51	66.2%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.52	39.7%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.55	64.5%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.43	41.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.56	64.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.76	36.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Cameron Norrie	1.57	63.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Dalibor Svrcina	2.80	35.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.52	65.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.55	39.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.52	65.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.71	36.9%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.49	67.1%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.33	42.9%	08 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.55	39.2%	08 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.54	64.9%	08 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.47	68.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.50	40.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.49	67.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.40	41.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.55	64.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.43	41.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.55	64.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.43	41.1%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.50	66.7%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.60	38.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.56	64.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.50	40.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Cameron Norrie	1.54	64.9%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Dalibor Svrcina	2.45	40.8%	08 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 23:26 UTC