| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.3% | 33.6% |
| logistic | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Novak Djokovic | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2121 | 2042 |
| Surface Elo | 2121 | 2042 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.14 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Bu Yunchaokete | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug 2023 | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 27 Feb 2023 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Novak Djokovic |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 14 Nov 2022 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 03 Oct 2022 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 01 Nov 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | 3 - 0 | Novak Djokovic |
| 08 Feb 2021 | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 3 | Novak Djokovic |
| 16 Nov 2020 | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | Novak Djokovic |
| 06 Jan 2020 | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | Novak Djokovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||