OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:30 UTC · finished
Hoffenheim 1.20 2 - 1 0.40 Schalke 04
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.9%61%-1.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 81.4%83%-1.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 75.7%78%-2.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.8%38%+15.1%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 56.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.6%22.9%21.5%
xgboost57.9%22.1%19.9%
logistic65.9%21.4%12.7%
Inputs the models saw
HoffenheimSchalke 04
Elo (pre-match)16281551
Surface Elo16281551
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.40
Form trend-0.300.10
Season points per game1.500.25
Season goals for / game1.750.25
Season goals against / game1.501.25
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Hoffenheim: last 5
05 NovACrystal Palace1 - 1D
31 OctAWerder Bremen0 - 2L
31 OctAWerder Bremen0 - 2L
31 OctHFC Koln0 - 1L
28 OctAHolstein Kiel1 - 1D
Schalke 04: last 5
31 OctHRB Leipzig0 - 2L
31 OctHRB Leipzig0 - 2L
28 OctADresden0 - 2L
24 OctAFC Koln0 - 0D
24 OctAFC Koln0 - 0D
Head to head
09 Apr 2023Hoffenheim2 - 0Schalke 04
14 Oct 2022Schalke 040 - 3Hoffenheim
08 May 2021Hoffenheim4 - 2Schalke 04
09 Jan 2021Schalke 044 - 0Hoffenheim
07 Mar 2020Schalke 041 - 1Hoffenheim
20 Oct 2019Hoffenheim2 - 0Schalke 04
20 Apr 2019Schalke 042 - 5Hoffenheim
01 Dec 2018Hoffenheim1 - 1Schalke 04
17 Feb 2018Schalke 042 - 1Hoffenheim
23 Sep 2017Hoffenheim2 - 0Schalke 04
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.0919.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5821.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6361.4%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4867.6%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6537.7%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC