| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.7% | 88% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.6% | 20.3% |
| logistic | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Blaise Bicknell | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1451 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1451 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 36 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Kian Vakili | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Aydan Gomez Osorio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Kacper Szymkowiak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Daniel Milavsky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Volodymyr Gurenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Max Dahlin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Gustavo Albieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | John Hallquist Lithen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.00 | 20.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |