| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.5% | 81% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.8% | 30.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 76.9% | 23.0% |
| logistic | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Linda Noskova | Elena Gabriela Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1896 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1896 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 33 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Viktorija Golubic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Lilli Tagger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Noskova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Lilli Tagger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Anna Bondar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Yeon Woo Ku | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 0 - 2 | Linda Noskova |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | Linda Noskova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |