| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.7% | 71% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.3% | 31.6% |
| logistic | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| Damir Dzumhur | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1499 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1499 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 6 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Sergi Fita Juan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Goncalo Marques | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Radu Albot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 0 | Georgii Kravchenko |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | Georgii Kravchenko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 07 Oct 06:15 |