| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.2% | 49% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.0% | 80% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.8% | 66% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 48% | +2.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 22.8% | 26.9% | 50.3% |
| xgboost | 30.3% | 24.2% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 26.1% | 27.4% | 46.5% |
| East Fife | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Clydebank FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Montrose | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Queen of Sth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Ross County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Stranraer | 3 - 4 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Celtic | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Alloa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterhead | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.80 | 55.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.65 | 60.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |