| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 54% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.3% | 79% | -2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.2% | 71% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 70% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.2% | 23.0% | 53.8% |
| xgboost | 27.1% | 20.4% | 52.6% |
| logistic | 22.5% | 25.2% | 52.3% |
| FC Koln | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1716 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1716 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 7 W · 1 D |
| 07 Nov | A | SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 5 - 3 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | A | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Wurzburger Kickers | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Marseille | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 2 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 2 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | 1 FC Nuremberg | 5 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Apr 2026 | FC Koln | 1 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 03 Mar 2024 | FC Koln | 0 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 05 May 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 2 | FC Koln |
| 09 Nov 2022 | FC Koln | 1 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 - 1 | FC Koln |
| 24 Oct 2021 | FC Koln | 2 - 2 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 16 Dec 2020 | FC Koln | 0 - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 08 Nov 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 08 Nov 14:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.00 | 20.0% | 08 Nov 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 08 Nov 14:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 08 Nov 14:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.22 | 23.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.05 | 24.7% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 08 Nov 06:15 |