| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.3% | 44% | +5.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 75% | +0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.5% | 60% | +4.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 52% | +3.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.4% | 27.0% | 36.5% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 26.4% | 23.9% |
| logistic | 50.6% | 27.3% | 22.1% |
| Portsmouth | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1507 | 1539 |
| Surface Elo | 1507 | 1539 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Blackburn | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Blackburn | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Charlton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Lincoln | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Lincoln | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Brighton & Hove Albion U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Stoke | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Portsmouth | 0 - 1 | Sheffield Utd |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 0 | Portsmouth |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 1 | Portsmouth |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | Sheffield Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.24 | 30.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.51 | 28.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.29 | 43.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.94 | 51.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |