| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | 66% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.8% | 23.5% |
| xgboost | 78.1% | 21.0% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Dallas Stars | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1513 | 1482 |
| Surface Elo | 1513 | 1482 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 4.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 0 - 4 | L |
| 30 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 5 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 5 - 4 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Apr | A | Winnipeg Jets | 6 - 1 | W |
| 16 Apr | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 2 - 5 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 19 Dec 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 5 | Dallas Stars |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 1 | San Jose Sharks |
| 09 Feb 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 8 | Dallas Stars |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Dallas Stars | 5 - 2 | San Jose Sharks |
| 16 Oct 2024 | Dallas Stars | 3 - 2 | San Jose Sharks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 05 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.74 | 36.5% | 05 Oct 18:20 |