| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.6% | 81% | -15.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| logistic | 30.4% | 69.6% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Adrian Mannarino | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1862 | 2137 |
| Surface Elo | 1862 | 2137 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Jakub Mensik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Ignacio Buse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Alex Molcan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Cameron Norrie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Daniel Merida | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 26 Sep 2024 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 03 Jul 2023 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 3 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 12 Jun 2023 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 06 Jun 2022 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 18 Mar 2019 | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 02 Jul 2018 | Adrian Mannarino | 3 - 2 | Daniil Medvedev |
| 07 Aug 2017 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | Daniil Medvedev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 3.96 | 25.2% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.27 | 78.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.20 | 23.8% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.10 | 24.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.21 | 82.6% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.50 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.27 | 78.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Adrian Mannarino | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Daniil Medvedev | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.27 | 23.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.23 | 81.3% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.20 | 23.8% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.22 | 82.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.10 | 24.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 3.90 | 25.6% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.50 | 22.2% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.27 | 78.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Adrian Mannarino | 4.60 | 21.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Daniil Medvedev | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.20 | 23.8% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.22 | 82.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.27 | 23.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.26 | 79.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 3.75 | 26.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.20 | 83.3% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.40 | 22.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.30 | 23.3% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.18 | 84.8% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.05 | 24.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.17 | 85.5% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.24 | 80.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.00 | 25.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.25 | 80.0% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.90 | 20.4% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.21 | 82.6% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Adrian Mannarino | 4.40 | 22.7% | 30 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.18 | 84.8% | 30 Oct 06:01 |