OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 17 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · finished
Wolfsburg 1.60 3 - 1 2.20 Heidenheim
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.2%59%-5.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 79.2%83%-3.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.5%76%-5.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66.9%74%-7.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson61.6%17.0%21.5%
xgboost49.0%23.1%27.9%
logistic53.8%25.9%20.3%
Inputs the models saw
WolfsburgHeidenheim
Elo (pre-match)15301518
Surface Elo15301518
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.602.20
Form trend0.200.60
Season points per game1.712.00
Season goals for / game2.712.00
Season goals against / game1.711.71
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 2 D
Wolfsburg: last 5
10 OctANurnberg4 - 4D
10 OctA1 FC Nuremberg4 - 4D
01 OctHTSV Havelse4 - 1W
18 SepHDarmstadt5 - 1W
12 SepASt Pauli0 - 1L
Heidenheim: last 5
09 OctHKaiserslautern0 - 0D
09 OctHKaiserslautern0 - 0D
02 OctHWurzburger Kickers3 - 1W
25 SepAStuttgart0 - 3L
20 SepABielefeld2 - 2D
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Wolfsburg1 - 1Heidenheim
23 Aug 2025Heidenheim1 - 3Wolfsburg
29 Mar 2025Wolfsburg0 - 1Heidenheim
10 Nov 2024Heidenheim1 - 3Wolfsburg
20 Jan 2024Heidenheim1 - 1Wolfsburg
19 Aug 2023Wolfsburg2 - 0Heidenheim
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.3323.1%17 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2draw4.3323.1%17 Oct 12:00
Bet3651X2home1.6062.5%17 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3076.9%17 Oct 12:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.5028.6%17 Oct 12:00
SportyBet1X2away4.3023.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.3023.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7058.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3474.6%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2031.2%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC