| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.3% | 88% | -17.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| logistic | 68.9% | 31.1% |
| Diego Dedura | Adria Soriano Barrera | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1620 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1620 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 209 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Cannon Kingsley | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Mar | H | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jan | H | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Jan | H | Mikhail Kukushkin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Jan | H | Paul Jubb | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |