| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.7% | 65% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.1% | 67.8% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Luca Van Assche | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1841 | 1834 |
| Surface Elo | 1841 | 1834 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 8 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Denis Shapovalov | 0 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Rohan Murali | 3 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 07 Oct 06:15 |