OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Standard 1.80 0 - 1 2.40 Charleroi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 48.1%43%+5.3%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.3%77%-2.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 62.3%59%+3.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.9%55%+4.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 58.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson35.5%30.1%34.4%
xgboost25.3%23.7%51.0%
logistic27.9%27.5%44.6%
Inputs the models saw
StandardCharleroi
Elo (pre-match)15741619
Surface Elo15741619
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.40
Form trend0.900.00
Season points per game1.572.57
Season goals for / game1.862.14
Season goals against / game1.711.00
Rest days2221
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Standard: last 5
18 SepAGent1 - 2L
12 SepAWesterlo2 - 4L
05 SepHAntwerp1 - 0W
29 AugAOud-Heverlee Leuven2 - 1W
21 AugHRAAL La Louviere2 - 0W
Charleroi: last 5
03 OctHRFC Meux1 - 1D
30 SepHRSC Habay0 - 0D
26 SepHRSC Habay1 - 1D
19 SepHCercle Brugge3 - 2W
19 SepHCercle Brugge3 - 2W
Head to head
23 May 2026Standard0 - 2Charleroi
18 Apr 2026Charleroi1 - 2Standard
18 Jan 2026Charleroi2 - 0Standard
31 Oct 2025Standard3 - 1Charleroi
04 May 2025Standard0 - 1Charleroi
06 Apr 2025Charleroi1 - 0Standard
30 Nov 2024Charleroi1 - 1Standard
20 Oct 2024Standard2 - 1Charleroi
16 Dec 2023Standard0 - 0Charleroi
13 Aug 2023Charleroi1 - 1Standard
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.3043.5%11 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%11 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home2.7536.4%11 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%11 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%11 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away2.4940.2%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.8335.3%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7955.9%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC