OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Oldham 0.20 4 - 1 1.40 Cheltenham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.8%59%-6.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 78.6%84%-5.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.0%77%-7.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.6%49%+4.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson52.6%24.1%23.3%
xgboost51.4%24.1%24.5%
logistic52.3%27.4%20.4%
Inputs the models saw
OldhamCheltenham
Elo (pre-match)14091427
Surface Elo14091427
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.201.40
Form trend-0.200.70
Season points per game0.891.50
Season goals for / game1.001.60
Season goals against / game1.441.60
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 2 D
Oldham: last 5
13 OctHLeeds4 - 2W
10 OctHAccrington0 - 0D
10 OctHAccrington0 - 0D
26 SepHSalford1 - 4L
26 SepHSalford1 - 4L
Cheltenham: last 5
13 OctHTottenham2 - 2D
10 OctHSalford0 - 2L
10 OctHSalford0 - 2L
03 OctAAccrington0 - 2L
03 OctAAccrington0 - 2L
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Oldham2 - 1Cheltenham
20 Sep 2025Cheltenham0 - 3Oldham
26 Jan 2021Cheltenham2 - 0Oldham
03 Nov 2020Oldham2 - 1Cheltenham
04 Jan 2020Cheltenham3 - 0Oldham
05 Oct 2019Oldham1 - 1Cheltenham
19 Apr 2019Cheltenham0 - 0Oldham
23 Oct 2018Oldham2 - 0Cheltenham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.6660.2%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away4.4022.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7357.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7856.2%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC