| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 62% | -11.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 87% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.7% | 81% | -14.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 46% | +3.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.4% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| xgboost | 48.6% | 28.1% | 23.3% |
| logistic | 51.9% | 27.1% | 21.0% |
| Salford | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Oldham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Oldham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Salford | 0 - 0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | Salford |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Salford | 0 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Salford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.90 | 20.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |