| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.9% | 70% | -11.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.9% | 35.0% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 41.2% |
| Pavel Kotov | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1750 | 1700 |
| Surface Elo | 1750 | 1700 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Vit Kopriva | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Zizou Bergs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alex Molcan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 1 | Vit Kopriva |
| 13 Feb 2023 | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | Vit Kopriva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |