| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 49% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.5% | 77% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.7% | 67% | +5.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 59% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 26.4% | 23.2% | 50.4% |
| xgboost | 21.7% | 21.9% | 56.4% |
| logistic | 16.8% | 25.2% | 58.0% |
| Tranmere | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1344 | 1602 |
| Surface Elo | 1344 | 1602 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.30 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 2 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Walsall | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Tranmere | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.08 | 48.1% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.33 | 30.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |